A poll from the Associated Industries of Florida shows Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by five points in Florida, while Republican Rick Scott holds a seven-point advantage over Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the U.S. Senate race.
A poll published on Wednesday by the Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) finds former President Donald Trump to have a five-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Florida.
The AIF Center for Political Strategy’s survey found 51 percent of likely voters supporting Trump, compared to 46 percent backing Harris, representing a larger margin than Trump’s 2020 win in the state. In the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Rick Scott has a seven-point advantage over Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, leading 51 percent to 44 percent. Five percent of voters remain undecided.
Economic concerns are at the forefront for Florida voters. Inflation and rising property insurance costs were cited as the top issues, with 23 percent of respondents highlighting each. Housing costs followed at 12 percent, while 10 percent pointed to illegal immigration as a primary concern.
The poll also reflected a general preference for Republican candidates, with 50 percent of voters favoring a generic Republican for the state legislature, compared to 45 percent leaning towards a Democrat. Republicans are also seen as more capable on key issues like the economy, inflation, and crime. However, 34 percent of respondents believe neither party is effectively addressing the state’s property insurance crisis.
Voter registration data in the poll shows Republicans with a notable advantage heading into the election. Of Florida’s 13.7 million active voters, 39 percent are registered Republicans, 32 percent are Democrats, and 29 percent are Independents. Since 2020, Republicans have gained 187,000 voters, while Democrats have seen a decline of nearly 964,000.
The poll, conducted by McLaughlin & Associates, surveyed 1,200 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.