Marijuana referendum won’t help Biden in Florida, undecided pot users breaking for Trump 3 to 1

by | Apr 13, 2024

A new national poll of cannabis users contained some surprising results with particular ramifications in Florida, where a November ballot referendum will help shape the outcome of the presidential election. The poll found that a notable number of cannabis users who might otherwise lean Democrat would surprisingly break for former President Donald Trump over President Joe Biden in a direct matchup.

Conducted by, the survey revealed that cannabis users planning to vote in November preferred a Democrat on a generic presidential ballot by a margin of 38 percent to 21 percent, with 33 percent undecided. But in a head-to-head matchup, Trump gained a stunning 15 percentage points from those undecideds while Biden gained only 5 points.

Biden still wins all cannabis users by a margin of 43 to 38 percent in the direct matchup, but the significant tilt among undecided cannabis voters —nearly 3:1 in favor of Trump— suggests that Trump still holds significant sway across an unconventional swath of the electorate.

Despite the presidential surprise, the poll still generally showed that cannabis users overwhelmingly favor Democrat candidates and policies and will likely support pro-referendum candidates in November, but it won’t be the deciding factor. Only 6 percent of users said it was the only issue they cared about. The overwhelming majority of cannabis users (85 percent) said they cared about several or many issues, with cannabis merely being one of them.

Notably, a near supermajority (59 percent) of respondents also showed significant openness toward pro-cannabis candidates of either party.

The national poll, which targeted a demographic that regularly consumes cannabis, was carried out online from March 25 to April 3. It reached 635 likely and committed voters, a sample drawn from an estimated national population of 35,791,267 cannabis consumers, as reported by the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH). With a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of +/- 3.89%, the findings not only raise eyebrows but also questions about the evolving political landscape and what influences voter decisions today.

View the complete poll results here.


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