NBC News poll gives Nelson advantage and Putnam a commanding lead

by | Jun 27, 2018

A different day. A different poll. And different results.

An NBC News/Marist poll released late Tuesday gives Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson a slight advantage over Gov. Rick Scott in the race for the U.S. Senate. The survey shows Nelson with a 4-point advantage. Nelson received the support of 49 percent of the voters surveyed, while Scott received 45 percent.

The survey has a margin of error of 3.9 percent.

The NBC poll follows a CBS survey that was released Monday in which Scott had the advantage with 46 percent of those surveyed favoring the governor. Nelson received 41 percent. The CBS poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

In the race for governor, the NBC poll shows Adam Putnam holding a significant 17-point advantage over Ron DeSantis in the contest for the Republican nomination. Putnam received the support of 38 percent of the voters, while DeSantis received 21 percent. However, a large segment of the voters, 39 percent, remain undecided.

On the Democratic side, the NBC poll gives the advantage to Philip Levine who received a nod from 19 percent of those surveyed, with Gwen Graham coming in second with 17 percent. Andrew Gillum received 8 percent of the support of those surveyed. Jeff Greene, the newcomer to the race, received 4 percent. Chris King finished fifth with 3  percent.

But the poll shows a large number of Democratic voters, 47 percent, also remain undecided when it comes to their choice for governor.

The Capitolist’s own “Horserace Index,”  a weighted poll average that uses pollster accuracy rankings from fivethirtyeight.com, the age and obsolescence of each poll, along with news and election cycle adjustments to determine the true state of the 2018 Governor’s Race, shows Levine holding a 3-point lead over Graham. Levine is averaging 25 percent of those surveyed, compared to Graham’s 22 percent. The Horserace Index shows Gillum in third place with an average of 19 percent, while King is averaging 9 percent. Greene who entered the race in early June had not yet been surveyed at the time of the latest index.

On the Republican side, the Horserace Index shows Putnam holding a 13-point lead over DeSantis. Putnam is averaging 31 percent, while DeSantis’ average is 18 percent.


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