New Reuters/Ipsos poll gives advantage to Gillum, Nelson

by | Oct 31, 2018

A new poll released Wednesday morning shows Andrew Gillum with a 6-point lead over Ron DeSantis in the race for governor. In the race for the U.S. Senate, Bill Nelson holds a 5-point lead over Rick Scott. The poll was conducted by Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics.

The poll of likely voters shows Democrat Gillum with a 50 percent to 44 percent lead over Republican DeSantis, while Democrat Nelson holds a 49 percent to 44 percent margin over his GOP opponent, Scott.

The survey notes the most significant change in the numbers from the poll’s September survey came in the Senate race, when Scott held a narrow 46 percent to 45 percent lead over Nelson.

The Reuters/Ipsos survey also showed Less than half, 45 percent ,of likely voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President.

As for the issues most important to likely voters, the top two are healthcare, 16 percent, and immigration, 15 percent.

Recent polls have consistently shown Gillum eading DeSantis, but by margins that vary greatly. The website, Real Clear Politics, which averages the polls taken to date, shows Gillum’s lead at 3 percent in the governor’s contest. The race for Senate appears to be closer with the Real Clear Politics average at 2 percent for Nelson..

The Reuters/Ipsos poll concludes “a win in both races will likely come down to whichever side is more mobilized to show up to vote.”

Numbers compiled through Wednesday morning shows Floridians continue to turn out in large numbers to cast early ballots. More than 3.4 million ballots have already cast either by mail or at one of the early voting sites across the state. The GOP continues to lead Democratic early voters with more than 1.43 million ballots cast compared to  nearly 1.37 million cast by Democrats.




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