Pending home sales plummet over 50% in three Florida metros hit by Hurricane Ian

by | Oct 20, 2022


  • Cape Coral saw pending sales sink 58%, while Naples and North Port saw similar drops
  • New listings also slumped in all three metros

Pending home sales plunged 58% year over year in the Cape Coral metro area during the four weeks ending Oct. 16 in the aftermath of Hurricane Ian, according to a new report from Redfin.

In a Thursday news release, Redfin highlighted Cape Coral’s housing marking, noting that the sink in sales was near twice the nationwide decline of 32%. Additionally, pending sales slumped in the nearby Naples (-52%) and North Port (-51%) metro areas.

The technology-powered real estate brokerage also spotlighted other Florida metros that experienced large — but less severe — declines. Pending sales fell 47% in Miami, 46% in Jacksonville and 43% in West Palm Beach. They were down more than 40% in Deltona, Tampa and Orlando.

Southwest Florida saw outsized decreases in pending sales as the storm quashed home listings. In Cape Coral, new listings sank 59% year over year during the four weeks ending Oct. 16 — more than triple the national decline of 19%. They fell 53% in Naples and 40% in North Port.

New listings also fell in other parts of Sunshine State, but not as sharply. The report found that they were down 33% in Jacksonville, 30% in Orlando and 28% in both Tallahassee and Tampa.

Hurricane Ian made landfall on Sept. 28, pummeling Florida’s Gulf Coast before cutting across toward the east coast. The storm left a path of destruction across the Sunshine State, producing catastrophic flooding and storm surge.

Since hammering Florida’s Gulf Coast, the Category 4 storm has exacerbated a housing-market slowdown in Southwest Florida that was already more severe than the downturn in other parts of the U.S. North Port and Cape Coral were among the fastest cooling housing markets in the country prior to the storm.

Redfin added that it was largely because scores of people moved in during the pandemic, which drove prices to record highs and caused the markets to overheat. Cape Coral had the highest price growth in the nation in August, the month before the storm. Tampa, North Port and West Palm Beach rounded out the top five.

Cape Coral, North Port and Tampa have consistently ranked on Redfin’s list of most popular migration destinations during the pandemic. 

While nearly two-thirds of homebuyers and sellers say they’re hesitant to move somewhere with climate risk, many still did during the pandemic because they were searching for relative affordability, lower taxes and/or warm weather. A 2021 Redfin analysis found that more people moved into than out of the U.S. counties with the largest share of homes facing high flood risk from 2016 through 2020—a trend that intensified during the pandemic moving frenzy.

While pending home sales and listings are plunging in Southwest Florida, home prices remain elevated. In Cape Coral, the median new listing price rose 15% year over year to $408,231 during the four weeks ending Oct. 16. That’s nearly double the national increase of 8%. The median new listing price climbed 14% in North Port and 24% in Naples.

While prices remain up on a year-over-year basis, price growth has slowed in recent weeks. Florida remains a hotspot among investors. In Jacksonville, 31.9% of homes that sold in the second quarter were bought by investors — a higher share than any other market analyzed by Redfin. Miami, Orlando and Tampa were also in the top 10.

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