Poll shows five Democratic U.S. Senators could be in trouble in November, Bill Nelson isn’t one of them

by | Mar 8, 2018

A new poll shows that if the election were held today, Democrats would lose half of the U.S. Senate seats they currently hold in state’s that were carried by President Donald Trump in 2016.

Florida U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson isn’t one of them, as a matter of fact, Nelson is listed as one of the least vulnerable of the ten Democrats.

That’s the finding of the latest poll conducted by SurveyMonkey/Axios online polls, which gives Nelson a 10 point lead–53 percent to 43 percent–over his anticipated Republican opponent, Gov. Rick Scott. Scott is expected to enter the race once the Legislature wraps up this year’s session.

“Democrats are defending 10 Senate seats in states that President Trump won in 2016. In six of those states, Trump’s approval is higher than 50% (compared to 43% nationally),” the poll states. “These numbers underscore how hard it will be for Democrats to pick up the two seats needed to win the majority despite Trump’s troubles.”

The  poll shows Trump’s approval rating is 46 percent in Florida, tied with Pennsylvania. In addition to Nelson, the poll names Sen. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania as the least vulnerable of the 10 Democrats.

“The most vulnerable senators are Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Jon Tester in Montana and Claire McCaskill in Missouri,” according to the survey. “Each of their approval ratings is either under 50% or just above it, while Trump’s is well above that in all three states.”

The poll points out that the Republican opponents used in the survey are not yet set and there could be changes in the GOP challengers in those 10 contests that could affect the the numbers.

These SurveyMonkey/Axios online polls were conducted February 12- March 5, 2018 among a total sample of 17,289 registered voters living in Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Montana, North Dakota.


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