Poll shows Rick Scott ahead by 15 Points in Senate race on the back of strong GOP and hispanic support

by | May 10, 2024

A Florida Chamber of Commerce poll shows U.S. Senator Rick Scott leading former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 15 points, with Scott securing 54 percent of the vote compared to Mucarsel-Powell’s 39 percent, and 7 percent of voters undecided.

United States Sen. Rick Scott holds a 15-point lead over former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, according to a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll released on Friday.

The poll shows Scott with 54 percent of the vote compared to Mucarsel-Powell’s 39 percent, while seven percent of voters remain undecided. Scott’s lead is supported by 93 percent of Republican voters and 66 percent of Hispanic voters, indicating that Mucarsel-Powell, despite her Latina background, trails significantly among Hispanic voters.

“Scott’s lead is built by maintaining strong support from his party and from Hispanic voters,” the poll summary states.

The poll reflects a trend of increasing Republican voter registration in Florida. Republicans now lead Democrats by nearly 1 million registered voters, up from October 2021 when Democrats had the advantage. Within the poll, top voter concerns were found to be illegal immigration, property insurance, and the economy, which align with Scott’s campaign focus.

As the 2024 election approaches, Scott’s campaign is expected to emphasize his incumbency and strong voter support, while Mucarsel-Powell needs to boost her profile and connect with key demographics to gain ground.

A USA Today/Ipsos poll published last month spelled trouble for Mucarsel-Powell, as findings indicated that 74 percent of Floridians have never heard of the former Congresswoman. Moreover, in totality, just four percent of poll participants held a favorable view of Mucarsel-Powell and eight percent say they have a somewhat favorable view, while the somewhat unfavorable and very unfavorable categorizations both received seven percent of the voter share.

“With the upcoming U.S. Senate race in Florida this November, the majority (74 percent) of Floridians say they have never heard of the main Democratic candidate, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell,” the poll abstract read.

Thus far in her campaign, Mucarsel-Powell has largely focused on abortion access, which she pledges support for, and her intention to back protections to Social Security — an oft-peddled criticism of the incumbent.

Meanwhile, Scott, a two-term Florida governor, has bolstered his reelection campaign with a slew of high-level endorsements, notably from fellow Senator Marco Rubio and 80 state legislators, including Florida Senate President Kathleen Passidomo and House Speaker Paul Renner. Both lauded Scott’s “commitment to policies fostering a conducive environment for living, working, and raising families in the state.”

The poll, conducted from April 28 to May 7 by Cherry Communications. The survey included 609 likely voters and holds a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.


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