Republican battleground poll signals trouble for Florida Democrats in 2022

by | Mar 23, 2022

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) released a new battleground survey on Wednesday, painting a grim picture for Florida Democrats looking to capitalize in the 2022 midterm elections.

The internal poll conducted by the House Republicans’ campaign arm found that Republicans hold a 4-point lead over Democrats on a generic ballot among voters in 77 battleground congressional districts that could decide the fate of Congress in 2022.

These districts were won by President Joe Biden in 2020, but that lead has evaporated as Republicans have posted a 7-point improvement on the generic ballot since February 2021

The survey also found that voters in swing states continue to hold Democrats responsible for issues plaguing the economy.

46 percent of respondents say they are concerned with economic issues like record-high inflation, soaring crime, or the crisis along our southern border. Additionally, 26 percent of battleground voters noted that inflation and the cost of living are the most important issue for Biden and Congress to address.

Notably, messaging surrounding economic woes continues to be a strong selling point for the GOP, with a majority of voters (52%) laying the blame for high gas prices at the feet of the Biden Administration and Democrats controlling Congress. Only 31 percent of those surveyed blame the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russian oil as the culprit for higher prices at the pump.

“This survey confirms what we already knew: Republicans have a winning economic message and Democrats’ failure to combat rising costs is repelling swing-voters heading into the midterms,” NRCC Chair Tom Emmer said in a statement.

Additionally, these voters say they will overwhelmingly support Republicans who are focused on addressing these issues.

75 percent of swing-state voters say they are more likely to support a Republican candidate who will fight to lower the price of groceries and gas, with another 78 percent backing Republicans who will commit to stopping illegal activities at the border. Another 80 percent of battleground voters said they are more likely to support a Republican who will champion energy innovation and promote economic growth.

Overall, 75 percent of those polled say that Democrats are out of touch with everyday Americans.

“No one wants to run as a Democrat in Florida because Floridians know Democrats are to blame for their hardships,” said NRCC Spokeswoman Camille Gallo.

The survey, which polled 1,000 registered likely voters on March 12-16, was conducted using a mix of landline (20%), cell phone (50%), and online panel (30%). The margin of error for the sample size was +/- 3.1%.


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