CD 1 and CD 6 primaries heat up as military contenders declare early, while several political heavyweights carefully plot their next moves

The race to replace two prominent Florida Republicans in Congress is already heating up, with a mix of declared candidates and looming potential contenders signaling high-stakes battles in Florida’s 1st and 6th Congressional Districts. The districts, represented by outgoing Reps. Matt Gaetz and Mike Waltz, are firmly Republican territory, setting the stage for competitive primaries that could define the region’s political landscape.

CD 1: A Panhandle Power Play

With Gaetz stepping down to assume the role of Attorney General in President-elect Donald Trump’s administration, the race to replace him in Florida’s 1st Congressional District is already attracting attention. Located in the conservative heart of the Panhandle, the district is a Republican stronghold, and candidates are aligning themselves with Gaetz’s fiery brand of Trump-aligned conservatism.

John Frankman, a former Green Beret and vocal critic of military vaccine mandates, was the first to announce his candidacy. Frankman, who served in the Army Special Forces for eight years, has pledged to carry forward Gaetz’s legacy of unflinching conservatism. And he may bring with him the backing of Gaetz, who brought him with him to the 2024 State of the Union address.

Meanwhile, Michelle Salzman, an Escambia County native and state representative for House District 1, is reportedly weighing a run. She also brings a military background, small-business credentials, and deep community ties. Her compelling mix of experience and local appeal could give her a boost in the race. Known for her grassroots advocacy and focus on veterans’ issues, Salzman would easily draw strong support from Panhandle conservatives.

Others rumored to be considering a bid include a mix of local officials and political newcomers, with a wide-open primary expected to attract several contenders.

CD 6: Waltz’s Departure Sparks Competitive Field

The 6th District, which stretches across six counties from the Atlantic Coast to Central Florida, is similarly poised for a dynamic Republican primary. Waltz’s departure to serve as National Security Advisor in the Trump administration has created a vacuum, and ambitious Republicans are eyeing the opportunity.

Rory Diamond, a Jacksonville City Councilman and former CEO of K9s For Warriors, is reportedly exploring a run. Diamond’s deep ties to Trump’s political orbit and his military legal experience as a JAG officer with the Florida National Guard position him as a formidable contender.

Among the bigger names generating buzz is Paul Renner, the outgoing Speaker of the Florida House. Though at least one source claims Renner won’t pursue the seat, his conservative credentials and fundraising prowess make him a very powerful wildcard. Renner chaired a PAC that played a significant role in defeating progressive ballot initiatives, which would play well in a GOP primary contest.

Other potential candidates include state Rep. Webster Barnaby of Deltona, state Rep. Chase Tramont of Port Orange, and former St. Johns County Sheriff David Shoar.

Notably, Tom Leek, a recently elected state senator, has publicly ruled out a run, narrowing the field slightly.

High Stakes and National Implications

The two races offer a snapshot of the GOP’s future direction, with candidates vying to position themselves as the staunchest defenders of conservative values. As Gaetz and Waltz prepare to take on prominent roles in the Trump administration – or at least prepare for a prominent confirmation battle as the case may be, their successors will be tasked with continuing their legacy while addressing the unique needs of their districts.